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Diagnostic accuracy of lactate levels after initial fluid resuscitation as a predictor for 28 day mortality in septic shock - 29/07/21

Doi : 10.1016/j.ajem.2020.10.020 
Gun Tak Lee a, b, Sung Yeon Hwang a, b, , Jong Eun Park a, b, Ik Joon Jo a, Won Young Kim c, Sung Phil Chung d, You Hwan Jo e, f, Gil Joon Suh f, Sung-Hyuk Choi g, Tae Gun Shin a,

for the Korean Shock Society (KoSS) investigators

a Department of Emergency Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea 
b Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Kangwon National University, Chuncheon, Gangwon, Republic of Korea 
c Department of Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea 
d Department of Emergency Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea 
e Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea 
f Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea 
g Department of Emergency Medicine, Guro Hospital, Korea University Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea 

Corresponding authors at: Department of Emergency Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, 81 Irwon-ro, Gangnam-gu, Seoul 06351, Republic of Korea.Department of Emergency MedicineSamsung Medical CenterSungkyunkwan University School of Medicine81 Irwon-roGangnam-guSeoul06351Republic of Korea

Abstract

Purpose

The aim of the study was to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of initial and post-fluid resuscitation lactate levels in predicting 28 day mortality.

Materials and methods

We retrospectively analyzed a multi-center registry of suspected septic shock cases that was prospectively collected between October 2015 and December 2018 from 11 Emergency Departments. The primary outcome was 28 day mortality. The diagnostic performance of the initial and post-fluid resuscitation lactate levels as a predictor for 28 day mortality was assessed.

Results

A total of 2568 patients were included in the final analysis. The overall 28 day mortality rate was 23%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of initial lactate for predicting 28 day mortality was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.64–0.69) and that of after fluid administration lactate was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.67–0.72), and there was a significant difference (p < 0.001). The optimal cutoff point of lactate after fluid administration was 4.4 mmol/L. Compared with this, the Sepsis-3 definition with a lactate level of 2 mmol/L or more was relatively more sensitive and less specific for predicting 28 day mortality.

Conclusion

The post-fluid resuscitation lactate level was more accurate than the initial lactate level in predicting 28 day mortality in patients with suspected septic shock.

Il testo completo di questo articolo è disponibile in PDF.

Keywords : Sepsis, Septic shock, Lactate, Outcomes, Fluid resuscitation, Septic shock definition

Abbreviations : MAP, KoSS, ED, SBP, SOFA, APACHE, IQR, AUROC


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Vol 46

P. 392-397 - Agosto 2021 Ritorno al numero
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