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Risk factors for severity and mortality in adult COVID-19 inpatients in Wuhan - 22/07/20

Doi : 10.1016/j.jaci.2020.04.006 
Xiaochen Li, MD a, b, , Shuyun Xu, MD a, b, , Muqing Yu, MD a, b, , Ke Wang, MD a, b, , Yu Tao, MD a, b, , Ying Zhou, MD a, b, , Jing Shi, MD a, b, , Min Zhou, MD a, b, , Bo Wu, PhD c, , Zhenyu Yang, MD a, b, , Cong Zhang, MD a, b, Junqing Yue, MD a, b, , Zhiguo Zhang, PhD d, , Harald Renz, MD e, Xiansheng Liu, MD a, b, Jungang Xie, MD a, b, Min Xie, MD a, b, , Jianping Zhao, MD a, b,
a Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China 
b Key Laboratory of Respiratory Diseases, National Ministry of Health of the People’s Republic of China and National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, Wuhan, China 
c United Imaging Healthcare Co Ltd, Wuhan, China 
d School of Medicine and Health Management, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China 
e Institute of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiochemistry, Molecular Diagnostics, Philipps University Marburg University Hospital Giessen and Marburg GmbH, Marburg, Germany 

Corresponding author: Jianping Zhao, MD, or Min Xie, MD, Tongji Hospital, 1095 Jiefang Ave, Wuhan 430030, China.Tongji Hospital1095 Jiefang AveWuhan430030China

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Abstract

Background

In December 2019, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak occurred in Wuhan. Data on the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with severe COVID-19 are limited.

Objective

We sought to evaluate the severity on admission, complications, treatment, and outcomes of patients with COVID-19.

Methods

Patients with COVID-19 admitted to Tongji Hospital from January 26, 2020, to February 5, 2020, were retrospectively enrolled and followed-up until March 3, 2020. Potential risk factors for severe COVID-19 were analyzed by a multivariable binary logistic model. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for survival analysis in severe patients.

Results

We identified 269 (49.1%) of 548 patients as severe cases on admission. Older age, underlying hypertension, high cytokine levels (IL-2R, IL-6, IL-10, and TNF-α), and high lactate dehydrogenase level were significantly associated with severe COVID-19 on admission. The prevalence of asthma in patients with COVID-19 was 0.9%, markedly lower than that in the adult population of Wuhan. The estimated mortality was 1.1% in nonsevere patients and 32.5% in severe cases during the average 32 days of follow-up period. Survival analysis revealed that male sex, older age, leukocytosis, high lactate dehydrogenase level, cardiac injury, hyperglycemia, and high-dose corticosteroid use were associated with death in patients with severe COVID-19.

Conclusions

Patients with older age, hypertension, and high lactate dehydrogenase level need careful observation and early intervention to prevent the potential development of severe COVID-19. Severe male patients with heart injury, hyperglycemia, and high-dose corticosteroid use may have a high risk of death.

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Key words : COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, risk factors, severity, mortality

Abbreviations used : ACE 2, ARDS, COVID-19, CT, HR, LDH, OR, SARS-CoV-2


Mappa


 This project was supported by grants from the Science and Technology Program of Hubei Province (grant no. 2020FCA026).
 Disclosure of potential conflict of interest: H. Renz is a member of and receives funding from the German Lung Centre (Deutsches Zentrum für Lungenforschung [DZL]) and of the Universities Giessen and Marburg Lung Centre. The rest of the authors declare that they have no relevant conflicts of interest.


© 2020  American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology. Pubblicato da Elsevier Masson SAS. Tutti i diritti riservati.
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