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Predictive Value of Computed Tomography in Acute Pulmonary Embolism: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis - 17/06/15

Doi : 10.1016/j.amjmed.2015.01.023 
Felix G. Meinel, MD a, b, John W. Nance, MD c, U. Joseph Schoepf, MD a, d, , Verena S. Hoffmann, PhD e, Kolja M. Thierfelder, MD b, Philip Costello, MD a, Samuel Z. Goldhaber, MD f, Fabian Bamberg, MD, MPH g
a Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston 
b Institute for Clinical Radiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Hospital, Munich, Germany 
c The Russell H. Morgan Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Md 
d Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston 
e Institute of Biomedical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-University, Munich, Germany 
f Cardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass 
g Department of Radiology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany 

Requests for reprints should be addressed to U. Joseph Schoepf, MD, Medical University of South Carolina, Ashley River Tower, MSC 226, 25 Courtenay Dr., Charleston, SC 29425.

Abstract

Background

Many computed tomography (CT) parameters have been proposed as potential predictors of outcome in acute pulmonary embolism. We sought to summarize available evidence on the predictive value of CT severity parameters for short-term clinical outcome in pulmonary embolism.

Methods

We searched PubMed and EMBASE through February 2014 for studies that reported on the association between CT parameters of acute pulmonary embolism severity and short-term (≤6 months) clinical outcome. Risk estimates for quantitative parameters of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction (abnormally increased RV/left ventricular [LV] diameter ratio on transverse sections and 4-chamber views), qualitative parameters of RV dysfunction (abnormal septal morphology and contrast reflux), thrombus load, and central thrombus location were derived using random effect regression analysis. Meta-regression analysis was performed to quantify and explain study heterogeneity.

Results

A total of 49 studies with 13,162 patients with acute pulmonary embolism (median age of 61 years, 55.1% were women) who underwent diagnostic CT imaging were included in the analysis. An abnormally increased RV/LV diameter ratio measured on transverse sections was associated with an approximately 2.5-fold risk for all-cause mortality (pooled odds ratio [OR], 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8-3.5) and adverse outcome (OR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.6-3.4) and a 5-fold risk for pulmonary embolism-related mortality (OR, 5.0; 95% CI, 2.7-9.2). Thrombus load (OR, 1.6, 95% CI, 0.7-3.9; P = .2896) and central location (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 0.7-4.2; P = .2609) were not predictive for all-cause mortality, although both were associated with adverse clinical outcome.

Conclusions

Across all end points, the RV/LV diameter ratio on transverse CT sections has the strongest predictive value and most robust evidence base for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

El texto completo de este artículo está disponible en PDF.

Keywords : Computed tomography, Mortality, Prognosis, Pulmonary embolism


Esquema


 Funding: None.
 Conflict of Interest: UJS is a consultant for and receives research support from Bayer, Bracco, General Electric, Medrad, and Siemens. SZG receives research support from Bristol-Myers Squibb, British Technology Group, Daiichi, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, and Thrombosis Research Institute, and is a consultant for Boehringer-Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Daiichi, Janssen, and Portola. The other authors have no relationship with industry to disclose.
 Authorship: All authors had access to the data and played a role in writing this manuscript.


© 2015  Elsevier Inc. Reservados todos los derechos.
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