To assess the accuracy of intraoperative neurophysiological monitoring (IONM) in predicting immediate and 3-month postoperative neurological new deficit (or deterioration) in patients benefiting from spinal cord (SC) surgery; and to identify factors associated with a higher risk of postoperative clinical worsening.

Consecutive patients who underwent SC surgery with IONM were included. Pre and postoperative clinical (modified McCormick scale), radiological (lesion-occupying area ratio), and electrophysiological features were collected.

A total of 99 patients were included: 14 (14.1%) underwent extradural surgery, 50 (50.5%) intradural extramedullary surgery, and 35 (35.4%) intramedullary surgery. Cumulatively, multimodal IONM (motor and somatosensory evoked potentials, D-wave whenever possible) significantly predicted postoperative deficits (p<0.001), with a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of 0.81, 0.93, 0.83, and 0.92, respectively. Sixty (60.6%) patients displayed no IONM change, whereas 39 (39.4%) displayed IONM worsening. In multivariate analysis, predictors for postoperative clinical worsening were: abnormal preoperative electrophysiological assessment (p=0.03), intramedullary tumor (p<0.001), lesion-occupying area ratio ≥0.7 (p<0.001), and IONM alterations (p<0.001). Three months after the surgical procedure, in patients presenting at least one of the risk factors described above, 45/81 (55.6%) and 19/81 (23.5%) were clinically and electrophysiologically improved, respectively; while 13/81 (16.0%) and 10/81 (12.3%) were clinically and electrophysiologically worsened.

Multimodal IONM is an essential tool to guide SC surgery, and enables the accurate prediction of postoperative neurological outcome. Specific attention should be given to patients presenting with preoperative electrophysiological abnormalities, large tumor volume, and intramedullary tumor location.