The cost-effectiveness of an online intervention to prevent dementia: Results from the Maintain Your Brain (MYB) randomised controlled trial - 25/03/25

Doi : 10.1016/j.tjpad.2025.100151 
Heidi J Welberry 1, Li-Jung Elizabeth Ku 1, 2, 3, , Sophy TF Shih 4, Louisa R Jorm 1, Maria Fiatarone Singh 5, 6, Michael Valenzuela 3, J. Anupama Ginige 7, Kaarin J. Anstey 8, 9, 10, Perminder S. Sachdev 3, 11, John McNeil 12, Nicola T Lautenschlager 13, 14, Megan Heffernan 15, Tiffany Chau 3, Henry Brodaty 3
1 Centre for Big Data Research in Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia 
2 Department of Public Health, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan 
3 Centre for Healthy Brain Ageing, Discipline of Psychiatry and Mental Health, School of Clinical Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia 
4 The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia 
5 Discipline of Exercise and Sport Science, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Australia 
6 Sydney Medical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Australia and Hinda and Arthur Marcus Institute for Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Roslindale, MA, USA 
7 School of Computer, Data and Mathematical Sciences, Western Sydney University, Penrith, New South Wales, Australia 
8 UNSW Ageing Futures Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia 
9 School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, New South Wales, Australia 
10 Brain Health and Dementia Centre, Neuroscience Research Australia, New South Wales, Australia 
11 Neuropsychiatric Institute, the Prince of Wales Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia 
12 School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia 
13 Department of Psychiatry, the University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia 
14 Royal Melbourne Hospital Mental Health Services, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia 
15 The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia 

Corresponding author details: Li-Jung Elizabeth Ku

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Résumé

Department of Public Health, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, No. 1, University Road, Tainan, 701, Taiwan

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Abstract

Background

The Maintain Your Brain (MYB) randomised controlled trial (RCT) examined the effect of a multi-domain internet-based dementia prevention program against a control group (information only).

Objectives

A cost-effective analysis (CEA) quantified the differences in costs (direct healthcare and program costs) and effectiveness outcomes between the intervention and control groups from a healthcare sector perspective.

Design

An economic evaluation was conducted alongside the MYB RCT over three years.

Setting

Australians aged 55–77 years with at least 2 identified remediable risk factors for cognitive decline/dementia recruited from communities in New South Wales.

Participants

There were 3,025 participants in the intervention group and 3,033 in the control group with available linked healthcare data via the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study out of the 6104 enrolled in the trial (99.2% of total cohort).

Intervention

The MYB trial comprised a personalised schedule of online coaching in physical activity, nutrition, cognitive activity, and depression or anxiety management.

Measurements

The two effectiveness outcomes were global cognition composite (GCC) scores and the Australian National University-Alzheimer's Disease Risk Index –short form (ANU-ADRI-SF) questionnaire scores. Costs included MYB program costs and the direct healthcare costs incurred by the MYB participants. All costs were reported in Australian dollars (AUD$) during the trial period. The time horizon of this analysis was 3 years after randomisation (2018-2021). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICERs) between the intervention and the control groups were calculated by comparing the average difference in costs to a mean difference in z score for GCC and ANU-ADRI-SF score using the bootstrapped means and 95% Confidence Intervals.

Results

The total unadjusted program and healthcare costs over three years were similar between groups (AUD$16,521 per person in the control group and AUD$16,473 in the intervention group). After adjusting for baseline characteristics, the average difference between groups in total cost per person at three years was not statistically different: AUD$467 favouring the control group (95%CI: -$552 - $1585). This was compared to a significant mean difference (improvement) in GCC z score at three years of 0.18 (95%CI: 0.13, 0.23) and -0.57 (95%CI: -0.95, -0.24) point difference in ANU-ADRI-SF for the intervention versus control. The base case ICERs were AUD$2,568 per 1 standard deviation in z score and $823 per reduction of 1 ANU-ADRI-SF point. With 1000 bootstrapped replications, the scatterplots of ICER ellipses suggest that the MYB intervention was more effective than the control group and with no significant difference in overall healthcare costs.

Conclusion

The MYB trial showed cost-effectiveness for preventing cognitive decline and reducing dementia risk. Longer-term follow-up and dissemination to other cohorts is needed to confirm the impact on preventing future cases of dementia and relevance to other socio-economic and cultural/ethnic groups than those enrolled in the original trial.

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Keywords : dementia, prevention, cost-effectiveness, costs, trial


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