Understanding risk factors of post-stroke mortality - 29/11/24
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Abstract |
Stroke is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Understanding the risk factors for post-stroke mortality is crucial for improving patient outcomes. This study analyzes and predicts post-stroke mortality using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), a functional neurological evaluation scale. Several Machine Learning models were developed and assessed using a dataset of 332 stroke patients from Hospital de Faro, Portugal, from 2016 to 2018. The Random Forest model outperformed others, achieving an accuracy of 98.5% and a recall of 91.3. Twenty-four risk factors were identified, with stroke severity as the most critical. These findings provide healthcare professionals with valuable tools for early identification and intervention for high-risk stroke patients, enabling informed decision-making and customized treatment plans. This research advances healthcare predictive analytics, offering a precise mortality prediction model and a comprehensive analysis of risk factors, potentially improving clinical outcomes and reducing mortality rates. Future applications could extend to patient monitoring and management across various medical conditions.
Le texte complet de cet article est disponible en PDF.Highlights |
• | Machine learning models identify 24 critical risk factors for post-stroke mortality. |
• | Random Forest model achieved 98.5% accuracy in predicting post-stroke mortality. |
• | SHAP values provide clear, interpretable insights into individual risk factors. |
• | The study offers tools for early intervention and customized treatment in stroke care. |
Keywords : Risk factors analysis, Stroke, Mortality, Machine learning, Modified Rankin scale
Plan
☆ | This work was supported by national funds through FCT (Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia), under the project UIDB/04152/2020 (DOI: 10.54499/UIDB/04152/2020) - Centro de Investigação em Gestão de Informação (MagIC)/NOVA IMS. |
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