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Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events After SARS-CoV-2 Infection in British Columbia: A Population-Based Study - 08/06/24

Doi : 10.1016/j.amjmed.2024.04.010 
Héctor Alexander Velásquez García, MD, MS, MPH, PhD a, b, Stanley Wong, MSc a, Dahn Jeong, MSc a, b, Mawuena Binka, PhD, MPH a, b, Zaeema Naveed, MBBS, PhD a, b, James Wilton, MPH a, Nathaniel Mark Hawkins, MBChB, MD, MPH c, d, Naveed Zafar Janjua, MBBS, MSc, DrPH a, b, e,
a Data and Analytic Services, British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia V5Z 4R4, Canada 
b School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z3, Canada 
c Division of Cardiology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia V5Z 1M9, Canada 
d Centre for Cardiovascular Innovation, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia V5Z 1M9, Canada 
e Centre for Advancing Health Outcomes, St. Paul's Hospital, Vancouver, British Columbia V6Z 1Y6, Canada 

Requests for reprints should be addressed to Naveed Zafar Janjua, MBBS, MSc, DrPH, Data and Analytic Services, BC Centre for Disease Control, 655 West 12th Avenue, Vancouver, BC V5Z 4R4, Canada.Data and Analytic ServicesBC Centre for Disease Control655 West 12th AvenueVancouverBCV5Z 4R4Canada

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Abstract

Background

COVID-19 is associated with increased risk of post-acute cardiovascular outcomes. Population-based evidence for long periods of observation is still limited.

Methods

This population-based cohort study was conducted using data (2020-2021) from the British Columbia COVID-19 Cohort. The exposure of interest was severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, identified through reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay. Individuals who tested positive (exposed) on RT-PCR were matched to negative controls (unexposed) on sex, age, and RT-PCR collection date in a 1:4 ratio. Outcomes of interest were incident major adverse cardiovascular events and acute myocardial infarction, identified more than 30 days after RT-PCR collection date. The association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and cardiovascular risk was assessed through multivariable survival models. Population attributable fractions were computed from Cox models.

Results

We included 649,320 individuals: 129,864 exposed and 519,456 unexposed. The median duration of follow-up was 260 days; 1,786 events (0.34%) took place among the unexposed, and 702 (0.54%) in the exposed. The risk of major adverse cardiovascular events was higher in the exposed (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22-1.46), with greater risk observed in those who were hospitalized (aHR 3.81; 95% CI, 3.12-4.65) or required intensive care unit admission (aHR 6.25; 95% CI, 4.59-8.52) compared with the unexposed group. The fraction of cardiovascular events attributable to SARS-CoV-2 was 7.04% (95% CI, 4.67-9.41%). Comparable results were observed for acute myocardial infarction.

Conclusions

SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with higher cardiovascular risk, with graded increase across the acute COVID-19 severity, contributing to 7% of incident major adverse cardiovascular events. These findings suggest that long-term monitoring of cardiovascular risk is required in COVID-19 survivors.

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Key Words : Long COVID, cardiovascular risk, survival analysis, population-based cohort


Plan


 Funding: This work was supported by the British Columbia Centre for Disease Control and the Canadian Institutes of Health Research [Grants #VR5-172683 and #OV4-170361]. The funders were not involved at any stage in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, writing of the report, or the decision of where to publish.
 Conflicts of Interest: NZJ participated in advisory boards and has spoken for AbbVie and Gilead, on matters not related to current work. Other authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
 Authorship: HAVG: Writing – review & editing, original draft, Methodology, Formal analysis, Data curation, Conceptualization; SW: Writing – review & editing, Data curation, Methodology; DJ: Writing – review & editing; MB: Writing – review & editing; ZN: Writing – review & editing; JW: Writing – review & editing; NMH: Writing – review & editing; NZJ: Writing – original draft, review & editing, Supervision, Project administration, Methodology, Funding acquisition, Formal analysis, Conceptualization. All authors have read and agreed to submit the final form of the manuscript.


© 2024  Publié par Elsevier Masson SAS.
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