Molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir each became available in the United States (US) through the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) emergency use authorization (EUA) in December 2021 after their respective initial prospective randomized controlled trials demonstrated efficacy for patients with mild-to-moderate SARS-CoV-2 active infection considered to be at high risk for progression of disease and hospitalization. Although sufficiently powered for this wide group, the mean age for patients in these studies was only 43 and 46 years of age, respectively. We sought to compare outcomes of US Veterans 65 years and older who received either of these oral antivirals to those who did not receive oral antivirals for mild-to-moderate SARS-CoV-2 active infection.

The current project was a retrospective, observational, nationwide propensity-matched analysis comparing outcomes of US Veterans 65 years and older who received either of these oral antivirals to US Veterans 65 years and older who did not receive oral antivirals for mild-to-moderate SARS-CoV-2 active infection.

The composite primary outcome of admission or death within 30 days of diagnosis was reached less often in those receiving either molnupiravir or nirmatrelvir/ritonavir versus those that received no antiviral (65/1370 [4.75%] vs. 139/1370 [10.2%]; odds ratio 0.44, 95% confidence interval 0.32-0.60, p<0.0001). Baseline differences between Veterans selected for molnupiravir vs. nirmatrelvir/ritonavir therapy were noted, particularly in the number of concomitant medications with cautions or contraindications with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir.

Our findings support the use of molnupiravir or nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in patients 65 years of age and older. Patients with higher medication caution and contraindication burdens to nirmatrelvir/ritonavir are selected for molnupiravir therapy, which in the absence of a prospective head-to-head trial, may limit any efforts to compare the effectiveness of the two drugs.