We aimed to assess whether asymptomatic (“happy”) hypoxia was an identifiable physiological phenotype of COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and associated with need for ICU admission.

We performed an observational cohort study of all adult patients admitted with hypoxaemic respiratory failure to a large acute hospital Trust serving the East Midlands, UK. Patients with confirmed COVID-19 were compared to those without. Physiological response to hypoxaemia was modelled using a linear mixed effects model.

Of 1,586 patients included, 75% tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. The ROX index was 2.08 min⁻¹ lower (1.56–2.61, p < 0.001) in the COVID-19 cohort when adjusted for age and ethnicity, suggesting an enhanced respiratory response to hypoxia compared to the non-Covid-19 patients. There was substantial residual inter- and intra-patient variability in the respiratory response to hypoxaemia. 33% of the infected cohort required ICU, and of these 31% died within 60 days. ICU admission and mortality were both associated with an enhanced respiratory response for all degrees of hypoxaemia.

Patients with COVID-19 display a more symptomatic phenotype in response to hypoxaemia than those with other causes of hypoxaemic respiratory failure, however individual patients exhibit a wide range of responses. As such although asymptomatic hypoxaemia may be a phenomenon in any individual patient with hypoxaemic respiratory failure, it is no more frequently observed in those with SARS-CoV-2 infection than without.