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Modeling the cost effectiveness and budgetary impact of Polypills for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease in the United States - 14/07/19

Doi : 10.1016/j.ahj.2019.04.020 
Thomas A. Gaziano, MD, MSc a, b, , Ankur Pandya, PhD b, Stephen Sy, MS b, Thiago Veiga Jardim, MD, PhD a, b, Jenna M. Ogden, BS a, Anthony Rodgers, MD, PhD c, Milton C. Weinstein, PhD b
a Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA 
b Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 
c The George Institute for Global Health, Sydney, Australia 

Reprint requests: Thomas A. Gaziano, MD MSc, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 718 Huntington Ave, 2nd Floor, Boston, MA 02115Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health718 Huntington Ave, 2nd FloorBostonMA02115

Abstract

Background

There is underutilization of appropriate medications for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

Methods

Usual care (UC) was compared to polypill-based care with 3 versions using a validated micro-simulation model in the NHANES population with prior CVD. UC included individual prescription of up to 4 drug classes (antiplatelet agents, beta-blockers, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone inhibitors and statins). The polypills modeled were aspirin 81 mg, atenolol 50 mg, ramipril 5 mg, and either simvastatin 40 mg (Polypill I), atorvastatin 80 mg (Polypill II), or rosuvastatin 40 mg (Polypill III). Baseline medication use and adherence came from United Healthcare claims data.

Results

When compared to UC, there were annual reductions of 130,000 to 178,000 myocardial infarctions and 54,000 to 74,000 strokes using Polypill I and II, respectively. From a health sector perspective, in incremental analysis the ICERs for Polypill I and II were $20,073/QALY and $21,818/QALY respectively; Polypill III was dominated but had a similar cost-effectiveness ratio to Polypill II when compared directly to usual care. From a societal perspective, Polypill II was cost-saving and dominated all strategies. Over a 5-year period, those taking Polypill I and II compared to UC saved approximately $12 and $6 per-patient-per-year alive, respectively. Polypill II was the preferred strategy in 98% of runs at a willingness to pay of $50,000 in the probability sensitivity analysis.

Conclusions

Use of a polypill has a favorable cost profile for secondary CVD prevention in the United States. Reductions in CVD-related healthcare costs outweighed medication cost increases on a per-patient-per-year basis, suggesting that a polypill would be economically advantageous to both patients and payers.

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 Declaration of Interest Dr Gaziano and Dr Pandya report receiving grant support to Brigham & Women's Hospital from United HealthCare Services, Inc. (UHS) to analyze UHS claims and medication use data and to conduct the cost-effectiveness analysis. Dr Gaziano has received research funding from Novartis and consulting funding from Teva and Takeda Pharmaceuticals all unrelated to the topic of this paper. George Health Enterprises, the social enterprise arm of The George Institute for Global Health, has received investment to develop fixed-dose combination products containing aspirin, statin and blood pressure lowering drugs. George Health Enterprises has submitted patents for low-dose blood pressure combinations, on which Anthony Rodgers (AR) is listed as one of the inventors. AR does not have a financial interest in these planned products.


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Vol 214

P. 77-87 - août 2019 Retour au numéro
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